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Is Will Levis actually well worth the hype within the 2023 NFL Draft?

Round this time final 12 months, Will Levis’ title was not solely being introduced as much as be the primary QB taken within the 2023 NFL Draft, however within the 2022 NFL Draft as properly. The senior QB for the Kentucky Wildcats threw for two,826 passing yards and 24 touchdowns as Kentucky gained 10 video games, together with their bowl victory over Iowa.

Levis returned to highschool, and halfway by means of the 12 months his Wildcats are spiraling. After dropping to Vanderbilt at house, Kentucky is instantly below .500 within the SEC and Levis’ play has been underwhelming to say the least. Regardless of this, Levis’ title remains to be being introduced up not solely as a primary spherical choose, however doubtlessly the primary QB off the board within the 2023 draft. The thirty third Workforce has him ranked because the sixth greatest prospect and the primary ranked QB, with thirty third Workforce consultant TJ McCreight excessive on his capacity to get hit and choose himself again up.

Is Will Levis actually price a excessive choose, or is primed to be one other QB taken close to the highest of the draft who finally disappoints the workforce that selects him? Let’s dive into what we’ve seen from Levis this season.

What was misplaced within the offseason

The most important individual for Will Levis’ improvement that was misplaced within the offseason is former offensive coordinator Liam Coen. Coen got here from the Los Angeles Rams (the place he returned to be the offensive coordinator within the offseason) and helped set up a professional type offense similar to McVay’s Rams offense with a whole lot of movement and play motion. Final 12 months, in line with Sports activities Data Options, Kentucky used play motion on 37 p.c of their dropbacks. This 12 months, that quantity has dropped to 26 p.c. Regardless of changing Coen with Wealthy Scangarello, who comes from the San Francisco 49ers, the offense hasn’t clicked the identical in any respect.

The following drawback Levis encountered is twofold. Former offensive line coach Eric Wolford is now at Alabama, and an offensive line that was a power misplaced their coach and a number of gamers to the NFL reminiscent of Darian Kinnard and Luke Fortner. Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops changed him with Zach Yenser and a number of new starters on the road. Add within the lack of receiver Wan’Dale Robinson, and you’ve got a supporting solid that merely doesn’t have as a lot as final season because the QB adjusts to a brand new system.

Regardless of this, we are able to nonetheless work out what Levis is and what he isn’t. We perceive what’s been misplaced and what he’s working with, so let’s see what he’s doing.

Will Levis scouting report: What Kentucky QB does properly

Levis is a giant, sturdy passer listed at 6’3 and 232 kilos. Levis has a powerful arm with an excellent launch, which unlocks ranges of the sector misplaced earlier than for some offenses. He can fireplace the ball into home windows that had been closed to most QBs, however together with his arm expertise he could make these throws.

The place Will Levis excels is within the play motion recreation. On the play motion dropbacks he has this season, his EPA per try is greater than it was even final 12 months. Levis an excellent athlete who can throw on the transfer each methods with out dropping any RPMs on his passes, and might nonetheless get the ball to all three ranges of the sector.

I additionally suppose Will Levis is slightly underrated as a runner. He’s not somebody you wish to design a gameplan round on the bottom, however the occasional pull on the zone learn or purpose line run wouldn’t harm the workforce. He’s a giant dude, with some agility as properly.

Will Levin scouting repot: The place Kentucky QB struggles

With out play motion, Will Levis is a totally totally different QB.

Will Levis with and with out Play Motion, 2021-2022

12 months Completion Proportion with PA Completion Proportion with out PA On Goal Throw Proportion W/O PA On Goal Throw Proportion With PA EPA/att with PA EPA/att w/o PA Avg. Throw Depth w/o PA Avg. Throw Depth with PA TD’s with PA TD’s w/o PA INT’s with PA INT’s w/o PA
12 months Completion Proportion with PA Completion Proportion with out PA On Goal Throw Proportion W/O PA On Goal Throw Proportion With PA EPA/att with PA EPA/att w/o PA Avg. Throw Depth w/o PA Avg. Throw Depth with PA TD’s with PA TD’s w/o PA INT’s with PA INT’s w/o PA
2021 67.60% 64.80% 74.00% 76.30% 0.13 -0.04 7.8 10.9 13 11 5 8
2022 70.50% 64.50% 64.90% 75.40% 0.19 -0.07 8.1 9.5 5 11 1 8

The advantages of utilizing play motion are it creates outlined home windows the place defenders are moved primarily based on the run motion. When Levis has to throw the ball with out defenders being moved primarily based on run motion, the processing slows down lots. His sack share has gone up since final 12 months, however even in 2021 his sack share goes greater when in non-play motion conditions. Levis remains to be studying get by means of progressions shortly and on time, and his determination making with out play motion is questionable.

Levis additionally tends to stare down his goal, creating a whole lot of unhealthy choices by not utilizing his eyes to govern defenders. Working in a professional type offense has its professionals, however one among its cons is that the problems he’s experiencing in faculty may very properly be points that also hang-out him on the subsequent stage. Levis can work NFL passing ideas when the learn is outlined for him and he’s advised the place to go along with the ball, however as soon as the image seems to be a bit cloudier, he turns into a distinct QB.

Levis’ play has gotten worse below strain. In line with SIS, his constructive play share below strain in 2021 was 5 factors greater than it’s this 12 months, and his on the right track throw share dropped about 4 factors. Levis below strain has flashed good moments, but it surely’s a bit alarming that there’s a lot adverse below strain.

So, now that we’ve listed the professionals and cons of Will Levis, let’s reply the query: what’s Will Levis?

What’s Will Levis within the NFL Draft?

Will Levis is a giant, bodily proficient QB who comes from a professional type system with a powerful arm to achieve all ranges of the sector. Nevertheless, he wants the image outlined for him within the passing recreation or he makes a whole lot of errors. Levis nonetheless wants time to determine the processing velocity of the NFL and enhance his accuracy below strain.

He’s not Josh Allen, and he’s not Justin Herbert. The event of Josh Allen is a one among one factor that may by no means occur once more within the NFL. I do suppose Levis can work within the NFL, however he isn’t a day one starter proper now.

Positive Recharge
Positive Recharge
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